Deepti Gurdasani is a British-Indian epidemiologist who is a public researcher at the Queen Mary University of London. This is a part of a thread in which she discusses Long COVID and the implications in the community.

Several studies have put the overall incidence of long COVID between 10-50% of those infected. Scientific consensus is that Long COVID is not just a respiratory disease but a “real” multi-system syndrome that occurs in those infected- predominantly impacting the young. The Office of National Statistics (ONS) data and REACT-1 data compares symptoms post infection among those infected with control groups of those confirmed not to have infection. These are some of the most robust data on Long COVID based on PCR tests through random nationally representative surveys of thousands of people (ONS data 313, 216, and REACT-1 data 508,707 samples).

Here are some highlights:

Most people present with a combination of symptoms and of the 1 million people affected, 2/3rds said it impacted their day-to-day activity. About 400,000 have had persistent symptoms for over 1 year. Sadly this included 9000 children who have been affected for more than a year. Those with the highest risk factors were women, increasing age, smoking, and low income.  There is strong evidence that even those with mild symptoms can have long-term structural brain changes including thinning of grey matter in brain areas related to smell, taste, memory and emotion. The risk of organ dysfunction was 38.9% in those aged 19-49 years. This clearly impacts a large proportion of young people.

So to summarize, long COVID is common- even in young children with mild infection. It usually includes multiple symptoms, that in many, affects day-to-day lives. Remember that children under the age of 12 cannot get vaccinated. Let’s do our part and get fully vaccinated for ourselves, our families (and children) and our community.

Follow the full thread at @dgurdasani1. Other links are Post Acute COVID-19 Syndrome and Survivor Corps

Electronic health records were studied at multiple institutions in the U.K. Researchers estimated the incidence of neurological or psychiatric sequela in 236,000 people with COVID-19 infection. During the 6 month follow-up, 13% were diagnosed for the first time with either a neurological or psychiatric condition with no prior history of these conditions. Another 21% of patients who had prior conditions developed new conditions.

These rates were compared with rates in 342,000 people with influenza and other respiratory tract infections. The incidence of neurological and psychiatric diagnoses were significantly higher in COVID- 19 patients. The most common diagnoses were anxiety (17.4%), psychotic disorder (2.8%), ischemic stroke (2.1%), dementia (0.7%) and intracranial hemorrhage (0.6%).

The most concerning were those whose acute COVID-19 infection caused encephalopathy (defined as delirium or other altered mental states). In those with encephalopathy, the chances of developing mood disorder were 22%, anxiety disorder 22%, ischemic stroke 9%, psychosis 7% and dementia 5%.

This large study demonstrates that various psychiatric and neurological conditions develop with a relatively high incidence in 6 months following acute COVID-19 infection in people with or without previous disorders. We need to look for interventions to address these sequela for post COVID patients. It is not just about surviving this infection, but hoping that you don’t fall into the long-hauler conditions that are so debilitating. One site connecting people with these symptoms that provides support and resources is survivor corps.

It is unknown whether the post COVID mood and anxiety disorders are due to the psychological stress of the illness, or that they are triggered by neuro-inflammation caused by the infection. Regardless of whether it’s the “chicken or the egg”, these symptoms are real and thus far unpredictable as to how long they may last.

Reference: Taquet M et al. Six month neurological and psychiatric outcomes in 236379 survivors of COVID-19; A retrospective cohort study using electronic health records. Lancet Psychiatry 2021 April 8:416.

The question that remains on people’s minds is how effective and long lasting the immunity is from either having had the COVID-19 infection or the vaccine. Now we are starting to get some answers. According to a population-wide study in Australia using data from the SARS-CoV-2 national infection reporting system, the re-infection rate has been low.

Researchers compared the odds of SARS-CoV-2 re-infections of COVID-19 survivors of the first wave (February- April 30, 2020) versus the odds of first infections in the remainder general population (by tracking PCR confirmed infections of both groups) during the second wave (September 1st-November 30, 2020). Out of the almost 15,000 COVID-19 survivors of the first wave and 253,000 infections in the 8.9 million individuals of the remaining general population, only 40 tentative re-infections were recorded.

This shows a relatively low re-infection rate of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia. Assuming that convalescents were exposed to COVID-19 at the same rate as people in the general population during the second wave, reduction in risk for re-infection was >90% which lasted for at least 7 months. Protection against SARS-CoV-2 after natural infection is comparable with the highest estimates on vaccine efficacies. Based on this data, there appears to be considerable protective immunity for at least 7 months after COVID-19 infection and no urgent need for booster vaccinations in COVID-19 convalescents. More well-designed research is needed for improving evidence-based public health decisions and vaccination strategies.

Reference: Pilz S et al. SARS-CoV-2 re-infection risk in Australia. Eur J Clin Invest 2021 April; 51:e13520.

I’ve published many studies linking the gut microbiome to certain health conditions. One of the conditions that has shown significant interest is mood disorders, especially major depressive disorder (MDD). Studies that have linked the gut microbiome to major depressive disorder have been small and have been met with skepticism. A recent study from China may give us more insight into the mechanism by which bacteria in the gut might influence brain chemistry. Researchers collected 311 fecal samples from people with MDD (unmedicated) and from healthy controls. Microbiome researchers were looking for a more precise picture of the organisms present versus a genus level within a batch of microorganisms.

Results found 18 specific bacterial species that were more abundant in those with MDD. They also found 3 specific bacteriophages (viruses that infect bacteria), and 50 fecal metabolites that were significantly associated with MDD verses healthy controls.  The gut bacterial metabolites that correlated with MDD were molecules that are involved in amino acid metabolism. The most important pathways were related to gamma-aminobutyric acid (GABA), phenylalanine, and tryptophan metabolism. These molecules enter the blood from the gut, affect neurochemistry, and have been implicated in MDD.

Researchers point out that GABA, a neurotransmitter in the brain, is made by gut microbes. Fecal levels of GABA and some of its metabolites were decreased in the MDD patients. GABA related microbial genes were also altered in MDD patients suggesting that microbes modulate GABA levels. It is possible that this may dysregulate the function of GABA in the brain, and could lead to depressive symptoms.

Scientists also hypothesize that an increase in certain phyla called Bacteroides could increase inflammation which has been linked to MDD. Also decreased Blautia bacteria which has been shown to have anti-inflammatory effects could contribute to MDD. Other studies have found that when fecal transplanting the entire microbiota of a person with MDD into a germ-free rat, it causes “depressive-like” behaviors in the rat.

Epidemiological researchers have found that many people with irritable bowel syndrome are also depressed. Also those on the autism spectrum tend to have digestive problems, and people with Parkinson’s disease are prone to constipation. Researchers have also noticed people taking antibiotics are more prone to depression compared to those taking antiviral or antifungal medications that leave gut bacteria unharmed.

So what is the mechanism behind the actually pathway from the gut to the brain? Some substances secreted by the gut microbes may infiltrate blood vessels for a direct ride to the brain. Other bacteria may stimulate the vagus nerve, which runs from the base of the brain to the organs in the abdomen. Indirect links might also exist. Gut bacteria is so important to proper immune function and studies show that having the wrong mix of microbes can promote inflammation. Microbial products can influence enteroendocrine cells which reside in the lining of the gut and release hormones and other peptides. Some of these cells regulate digestion and control insulin production. They also release the neurotransmitter serotonin which escapes the gut and travels throughout the body. This is where our gut flora might influence weight gain, sleep and how we respond to stress.

It’s crazy to think how much influence our gut has to our mood. Depressed symptoms can influence our diet behavior which can influence our gut characteristics and composition. On the other hand, our bacteria can produce some special metabolites and have a specific pathway that can influence our brain function. More research needs to be done to determine whether any of these pathways are actually causally related to depression. Nutritional psychiatry is a new emerging field that is so exciting. We may be able to target the microbiome through diet (and specific probiotics) which could alleviate some of the symptoms of depression.

This is one more piece of evidence that shows a strong association of microbiome function and mental wellbeing.

Reference: Yang J et al. Landscapes of bacteria and metabolic signatures and their interactions major depressive disorders. Sci Adv 2020 Dec 2; 6:eaba8555.

The Psychbiome